La Liga Gameweek 9
Real Madrid
Oct 18, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Sevilla

Real Madrid vs Sevilla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 1 - 0 Villarreal
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappé 

Sevilla

All competitions
Last game
Oct 12, 2026 8.00pm
Levante 3 - 3 Sevilla
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Isaac Romero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 70.44%. A draw has a probability of 18.06% and a win for Sevilla has a probability of 11.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.46%) , while for a Sevilla win it is 0-1 (3.53%).

Result

Real Madrid 70.44% ▲ (+2.99)
Draw 18.06% ▼ (-1.90)
Sevilla 11.47% ▼ (-1.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.25% ▼ (-0.62)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.62% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 1.5 18.38% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 60.18% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 2.5 39.82% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 3.5 37.85% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 3.5 62.15% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 4.5 25.57% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 4.5 74.43% ▲ (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid 50.64% ▲ (+1.90)
Draw 36.02% ▼ (-0.24)
Sevilla 13.35% ▼ (-1.65)

Team To Score First

Real Madrid 68.89% ▲ (+1.66)
No Goal 4.47% ▼ (-0.29)
Sevilla 26.64% ▼ (-1.38)

Corners

Over 8 63.2% ▼ (-5.35)
Equal 8 10.26% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 8 26.54% ▲ (+5.44)
Over 9 52.3% ▼ (-4.67)
Equal 9 10.9% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 9 36.8% ▲ (+5.34)
Over 10.5 41.62% ▼ (-3.57)
Under 10.5 58.38% ▲ (+3.57)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 66.3% ▲ (+2.15)
Under 1.5 33.7% ▼ (-2.15)
Over 2.5 39.27% ▲ (+1.16)
Under 2.5 60.73% ▼ (-1.16)
Over 3.5 18.86% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 81.14% ▼ (-0.18)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5 46.04% ▼ (-2.22)
Under 0.5 53.96% ▲ (+2.22)
Over 1.5 16.96% ▼ (-1.58)
Under 1.5 83.04% ▲ (+1.59)
Over 2.5 4.18% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 2.5 95.82% ▲ (+0.70)
Over 3.5 0.91% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 3.5 99.09% ▲ (+0.30)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 70.44%
Draw 18.06%
Sevilla 11.49%
Real Madrid
2-0 @ 11.56% ▲ (+1.16)
1-0 @ 10.37% ▲ (+0.16)
2-1 @ 10.09% ▲ (+0.29)
3-0 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.85)
3-1 @ 7% ▲ (+0.29)
3-2 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 18.85% ▲ (+0.34)
Total : 70.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.46% ▼ (-1.05)
0-0 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.29)
2-2 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 18.06%
Sevilla
0-1 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.16)
1-2 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.30)
0-2 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.20)
2-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.9% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 11.49%

Head to Head

La Liga
Sevilla
May 17, 2026 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Real Madrid
  • Lucien Agoumé 53' yellowcard
  • Alexis Sánchez 53' yellowcard
  • Lucien Agoumé 54' yellowcard
  • Chidera Ejuke 54' yellowcard
  • Alexis Sánchez 54' yellowcard
  • Juanlu Sánchez 70' yellowcard
  • Isaac Romero 78' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 15'
  • yellowcard Franco Mastantuono 70'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 70'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo García 77'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 77'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Leiva 87'
La Liga
Real Madrid
Dec 20, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Sevilla
  • Jude Bellingham 38' goal
  • Rodrygo 41' yellowcard
  • Raul Asencio del Rosario 60' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 86' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Angel Carmona 34'
  • yellowcard Matias Almeyda 35'
  • yellowcard Marcao 37'
  • yellowcard Marcao 68'
  • yellowcard Lucien Agoume 70'
  • yellowcard Djibril Sow 90'+1'
La Liga Gameweek 37
Sevilla
May 18, 2025 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Real Madrid
  • Loic Bade 12' redcard
  • Isaac Romero 48' redcard
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 66'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 75'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 87'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Real Madrid
Dec 22, 2024 3.15pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Sevilla
  • Kylian Mbappe 10' goal
  • Federico Valverde 20' goal
  • Rodrygo 34' goal
  • Carlo Ancelotti 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Brahim Diaz 53' goal
  • Federico Valverde 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Albert Sambi Lokonga 12'
  • goal Isaac Romero 35'
  • yellowcard Kike Salas 76'
  • goal Dodi Lukebakio 85'
La Liga Gameweek 26
Real Madrid
Feb 25, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Sevilla
  • Lucas Vazquez 10' goal
  • Carlo Ancelotti 13' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 35' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 81' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Ocampos 70'
  • yellowcard Tanguy Kouassi 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Djibril Sow 90'+8'
La Liga Gameweek 10
Sevilla
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Real Madrid
  • David Alaba 74' goal
  • Sergio Ramos 76' yellowcard
  • Jesus Navas 78' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ocampos 85' yellowcard
  • Boubakary Soumare 87' yellowcard
  • Erik Lamela 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Valverde 4'
  • goal Dani Carvajal 78'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 85'
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 85'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 90'+4'

Form Data

Roma 3 - 4 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 1 - 0 Villarreal
Atletico 2 - 1 Real Madrid
Elche 2 - 3 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Inter Milan
Levante 3 - 3 Sevilla
Sevilla 1 - 3 Barcelona
Deportivo 0 - 1 Sevilla
Sevilla 1 - 0 Valencia
Espanyol 1 - 1 Sevilla
Sevilla 1 - 3 Atletico