Champions League Gameweek 2
Atletico
Oct 13, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Man Utd
  • Pablo Barrios 1' goal
  • Diego Simeone 37' yellowcard
  • Ademola Lookman 79' goal
  • Robin Le Normand 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcus Rashford 52'
  • redcard Leny Jean-Luc Yoro 74'

Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
Liverpool 2 - 1 Atletico

Manchester United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 0-1 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Madrid 45.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 25.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Manchester United 29.4% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.32% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.01% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 25.99% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 50.62% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 49.38% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 29.72% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 70.28% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 17.46% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 82.54% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid 28.16%
Draw 40.84%
Manchester United 30.99% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid 48.34% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 7.57% ▼ (-0.05)
Manchester United 44.09% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 53.37%
Equal 8 11.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 34.7%
Over 9 41.63%
Equal 9 11.74%
Under 9 46.63%
Over 10.5 31.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 68.97% ▼ (-0.02)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 43.53% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 56.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 19.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 80.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.87% ▼ (-0.02)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 62.78% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 0.5 37.22% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 31.14% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 68.86% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 12.52% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 87.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.74% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 45.41%
Draw 25.2%
Manchester United 29.41%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.8% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 45.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 25.2%
Manchester United
0-1 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 29.41%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Man Utd
Aug 1, 2026 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
Atletico
Club Friendlies 1
Man Utd
Jul 30, 2022 12.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
Atletico
  • Thomas Lemar 23' yellowcard
  • Reinildo Mandava 35' yellowcard
  • Jan Oblak 41' yellowcard
  • Saul Niguez 84' yellowcard
  • Joao Felix 86' goal
  • yellowcard Fred 28'
  • yellowcard Scott McTominay 41'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 54'
  • redcard Fred 90'+1'
Champions League
Man Utd
Mar 15, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Atletico
  • Nemanja Matic 81' yellowcard
  • Diogo Dalot 87' yellowcard
  • goal Renan Lodi 41'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo De Paul 43'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 81'
Champions League
Atletico
Feb 23, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Man Utd
  • Joao Felix 7' goal
  • Hector Herrera 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Reinildo Mandava 63' yellowcard
  • Marcos Llorente 77' yellowcard
  • Jose Gimenez 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Shaw 50'
  • yellowcard Victor Lindelof 60'
  • yellowcard Marcus Rashford 65'
  • yellowcard Fred 74'
  • goal Anthony Elanga 80'
  • yellowcard Alex Telles 83'

Form Data

Alaves 1 - 2 Atletico
Atletico 2 - 1 Real Madrid
Atletico 4 - 0 Osasuna
Real Sociedad 0 - 3 Atletico
Liverpool 2 - 1 Atletico
Athletic Bilbao 3 - 0 Atletico
Man Utd 1 - 1 Spurs
Fulham 1 - 1 Man Utd
Man Utd 2 - 3 Brighton
Man Utd 0 - 1 Man City
Man Utd 4 - 0 Sabah
Everton 2 - 2 Man Utd

Build-up

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