CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Sep 10, 2024 at 9pm UK

FIFA Technical Centre Butwal

Antigua
0 - 1
Bermuda

Roberts (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Crichlow (56')
Lambe (31'), Clemons (39'), Lee (90+6')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Antigua and Barbuda and Bermuda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Antigua and Barbuda

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Dominica 2-1 Antigua
Saturday, September 7 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua and Barbuda	0	0	0
2	Guyana	0	0	0
3	Puerto Rico	0	0	0
4	Bahamas	0	0	0

Bermuda

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Bermuda 2-3 Dominican Rep.
Saturday, September 7 at 4pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bermuda	0	0	0
2	Belize	0	0	0
3	Saint Vincent & the Grenadines	0	0	0
4	French Guiana	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.14%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bermuda would win this match.

Result
Antigua and Barbuda	Draw	Bermuda
37.26% ( 1)	22.88% ( 0.31)	39.86% ( -1.31)

Both teams to score 65.77% (

-1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.72% (

-1.47)

35.29% (

1.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.7% (

-1.66)

57.31% (

1.66)

Antigua and Barbuda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.52% (

-0.18)

19.49% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.65% (

-0.3)

51.35% (

0.31)

Bermuda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.69% (

-1.17)

18.32% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.6% (

-2.02)

49.41% (

2.03)

Score Analysis

Antigua and Barbuda 37.26%

Bermuda 39.86%

Draw 22.89%

Antigua and Barbuda	Draw	Bermuda
2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.38% Total : 37.26%	1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.89%	1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.79% Total : 39.86%