Dominica national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Sep 7, 2024 at 9pm UK
FIFA Technical Centre Butwal
Antigua and Barbuda national football team

Dominica
2 - 1
Antigua

Bertrand (46'), Joseph (57')
Bertrand (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stevens (53')
Hughes (3'), Roberts (38')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Dominica and Antigua and Barbuda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dominica

All competitions
Last Game: Dominica 2-3 Jamaica
Sunday, June 9 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Antigua and Barbuda

All competitions
Last Game: Cayman Islands 1-0 Antigua
Sunday, June 9 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominica win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.32%) and 3-1 (5.28%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dominica in this match.

Result
DominicaDrawAntigua and Barbuda
42.97% (0.050000000000004 0.05)21.96% (-0.038 -0.04)35.07% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 69.01% (0.15100000000001 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.08% (0.19399999999999 0.19)30.92% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.71% (0.231 0.23)52.29% (-0.228 -0.23)
Dominica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (0.099999999999994 0.1)15.27% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.03% (0.181 0.18)43.97% (-0.178 -0.18)
Antigua and Barbuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (0.087000000000003 0.09)18.55% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.2% (0.142 0.14)49.8% (-0.138 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Dominica 42.97%
    Antigua and Barbuda 35.07%
    Draw 21.96%
DominicaDrawAntigua and Barbuda
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.32% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.45% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.09% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
4-3 @ 1.17% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 42.97%
1-1 @ 8.97% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 7.1% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.5% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.96%
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.77% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.99% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.68% (0.011 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.05% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 35.07%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2018
9pm
International Friendlies
Antigua  
vs.
D
   Dominica