Beijing Guoan

3 - 1

Victory

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 17.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.