Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%).
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 32.48% | 23.45% | 44.07% |
| Both teams to score 62.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.78% | 39.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.45% | 61.56% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% | 23.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.05% | 57.95% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.84% | 18.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.85% | 49.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 7.6% 1-0 @ 6.21% 2-0 @ 4.46% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 3.1% 3-0 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.48% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 4.32% 3-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-1 @ 7.37% 0-2 @ 6.29% 1-3 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 3.69% 0-3 @ 3.57% 1-4 @ 2.19% 2-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.71% Total : 44.07% |