World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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-
Mohamed El Amine Amoura
8'
-
Rayan Ait-Nouri
21'
-
Aissa Mandi
24'
-
Mohamed El Amine Amoura
30'
-
Jaouen Hadjam
65'
-
Mohamed El Amine Amoura
80'
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Nanani
28'
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Geny Catamo
40'
-
Nene
57'
Algeria vs Mozambique - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 70.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 11.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
Result
Algeria
70.31%
▼
(-1.53)
Draw
18.32%
▲
(+0.87)
Mozambique
11.37%
▲
(+0.66)
Both Teams to Score:
46.53%
▼
(-0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.94%
▼
(-2.14)
Under 2.5
44.06%
▲
(+2.14)
Over 3.5
33.56%
▼
(-2.12)
Under 3.5
66.44%
▲
(+2.12)
Over 4.5
17.2%
▼
(-1.58)
Under 4.5
82.8%
▲
(+1.58)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5
88.69%
▼
(-0.99)
Under 0.5
11.31%
▲
(+0.98)
Over 1.5
64.04%
▼
(-2.18)
Under 1.5
35.96%
▲
(+2.18)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5
52.46%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 0.5
47.53%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
17.11%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
82.89%
▲
(+0.15)
Score analysis
Algeria
70.29%
Draw
18.32%
Mozambique
11.37%
Algeria
2-0
@
12.76%
▲
(+0.17)
1-0 @ 11.71% ▲ (+0.62)
2-1 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.26)
3-1 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.24)
4-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.36)
4-1 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.29)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.11)
5-0 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.26)
5-1 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.20)
4-2 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 70.29%
1-0 @ 11.71% ▲ (+0.62)
2-1 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.26)
3-1 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.24)
4-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.36)
4-1 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.29)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.11)
5-0 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.26)
5-1 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.20)
4-2 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 70.29%
Draw
1-1
@
8.71%
▲
(+0.42)
0-0 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.49)
2-2 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 18.32%
0-0 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.49)
2-2 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 18.32%
Mozambique
0-1
@
4%
▲
(+0.35)
1-2 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 11.37%
1-2 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 11.37%
Head to Head
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
-
Domingues
90'+4'
-
Ramy Bensebaini
50'
-
Fares Chaibi
69'
-
Mohamed El Amine Amoura
76'
-
Ramiz Zerrouki
80'
African Nations Championship
-
Hocine Dehiri
7'