World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 25, 2025 at 9pm UK

Algeria
5 - 1
Mozambique

El Amine Amoura (8', 30', 80'), Mandi (24'), Hadjam (65')
Ait-Nouri (21')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Catamo (40')
Nanani (28'), Nene (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Algeria and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Botswana 1-3 Algeria
Friday, March 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Mozambique

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Mozambique 3-1 Uganda
Thursday, March 20 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 70.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 11.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
Algeria	Draw	Mozambique
70.31% ( -1.52)	18.32% ( 0.87)	11.37% ( 0.65)

Both teams to score 46.53% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.94% (

-2.14)

44.06% (

2.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.56% (

-2.12)

66.44% (

2.12)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.69% (

-0.98)

11.31% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.04% (

-2.17)

35.96% (

2.17)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.46% (

-0.19)

47.53% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.11% (

-0.15)

82.89% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Algeria 70.29%

Mozambique 11.37%

Draw 18.32%

Algeria	Draw	Mozambique
2-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.36) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.25) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.53% Total : 70.29%	1-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 18.32%	0-1 @ 4% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.64% Total : 11.37%