MX23RW : Friday, March 29 01:18:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 0
Caernarfon

Mwandwe (45+2')
Roberts (45'), (88'), Jones (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hughes (40'), Edwards (42'), John Williams (58'), Jones (88'), Evans (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
53.52%22.52%23.96%
Both teams to score 58.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.11%40.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.72%63.28%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71%15.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.99%44%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48%30.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25%66.74%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 53.52%
    Caernarfon Town 23.96%
    Draw 22.52%
Newtown AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.77%
1-0 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 6.11%
3-0 @ 5.15%
3-2 @ 3.63%
4-1 @ 2.87%
4-0 @ 2.42%
4-2 @ 1.7%
5-1 @ 1.08%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 53.52%
1-1 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 4.67%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-1 @ 5.54%
0-2 @ 3.29%
1-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 23.96%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
0-2
Newtown

Edwards (24'), (82'), Jones (84')
Evans (34')
Evans (52'), Williams (85')
(24')
May 29, 2021 12pm
Caernarfon
3-5
Newtown
Kenny (18'), Thomas (59', 73')
Kenny (9'), Cleworth (76'), (84')
Rushton (39' pen.), Mwandwe (44'), Davies (76', 80', 82')
Mills-Evans (45+5'), Williams (90')
Dec 18, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Caernarfon
1-1
Newtown
Bradley (34')
Williams (13'), Mendes (59'), Hayes (77'), Bradley (90+4')
Breese (84')
O'Neill (31')
Sep 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Newtown
2-3
Caernarfon
Davies (30', 51')
Rushton (16'), Edwards (39'), Phillips (45+2')
Mendes (45+3'), Bradley (59'), Edwards (79')
Thomas (66'), Brookwell (70'), Williams (89')
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints660099168380
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay621367412654
3Bala TownBala Town632134241048
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon72324956-740
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU71243452-1839
6Newtown AFCNewtown61054044-436
Relegation Round
1Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest61323337-434
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont63213937233
3Barry Town UnitedBarry60513350-1728
4Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd53203664-2821
5Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth51222151-3020
6Colwyn Bay61233061-3119
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!