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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 1
Barry

Davies (59'), Hughes (62')
Mills-Evans (42'), Walker (55'), Hughes (61'), Roberts (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cotterill (18')
Cotterill (30'), Patten (45+1'), Cummings (45+2'), McLaggon (77'), Green (90+4')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Barry Town United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 54.46%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 23.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newtown AFC in this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawBarry Town United
54.46%21.81%23.73%
Both teams to score 61.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.21%37.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.96%60.04%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.09%13.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.65%41.35%
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.98%29.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.08%64.92%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 54.47%
    Barry Town United 23.73%
    Draw 21.81%
Newtown AFCDrawBarry Town United
2-1 @ 9.72%
1-0 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 7.85%
3-1 @ 6.39%
3-0 @ 5.16%
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-1 @ 3.15%
4-0 @ 2.55%
4-2 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 54.47%
1-1 @ 9.85%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 4.04%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 6.1%
0-1 @ 5%
0-2 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 23.73%

Head to Head
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Barry
0-3
Newtown

Day (34'), Green (42'), Cotterill (90')
Williams (33' pen., 49', 66')
Roberts (40'), Mwandwe (76')
Nov 21, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Barry
0-0
Newtown
McDonald (14'), Bowen (30'), Wharton (31'), Cooper (83')
Oct 10, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Newtown
1-1
Barry
Davies (66')
(25'), (41'), (43'), (90+5')
McLaggon (90+4')
George (23'), McLaggon (34'), Cooper (45+3')
Apr 4, 2020 1pm
Mar 28, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110


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