Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Liverpool.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Liverpool |
| 36.71% | 27.19% | 36.09% |
| Both teams to score 50.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.85% | 55.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.61% | 76.39% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% | 28.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% | 64.76% |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% | 29.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.77% | 65.22% |
| Score Analysis |
Nacional 36.7%
Liverpool 36.08%
Draw 27.19%
| Nacional | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.52% 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.7% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.46% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.08% |


