Wanderers

3 - 0

Villa Espanola

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 36.42%. A win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Villa Espanola win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.