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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Oct 9, 2021 at 12am UK
Estadio Raúl Saturnino Goyenola

Cerro Largo
1 - 1
Maldonado

Di Yorio (12')
Rodriguez (30'), Max (58'), Beltran (75'), Otormin (75'), (78'), Beltran (78'), Acosta (90+6'), Pereira (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Muniz (89')
Souza (43')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Deportivo Maldonado.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawDeportivo Maldonado
48.52%25.33%26.15%
Both teams to score 51.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82%51.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98%73.02%
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89%21.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.06%53.94%
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.74%34.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.04%70.96%
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 48.51%
    Deportivo Maldonado 26.15%
    Draw 25.33%
Cerro LargoDrawDeportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 8.75%
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 4.54%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 48.51%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 7.23%
2-2 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.75%
1-2 @ 6.45%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 26.15%