Metalist Kharkiv

3 - 2

Chornomorets

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 43.96%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 27.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metalist Kharkiv would win this match.