Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 3
Jun 28, 2020 at 3pm UK
Stadion im. Volodymyra Boyka

Mariupol
2 - 1
Dnipro-1

Korniienko (23'), Kashchuk (45+3')
Ihnatenko (37'), Muravskyi (48'), Kulakov (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Khoblenko (66' pen.)
Loginov (45'), Svatok (58'), Di Franco (81')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Dnipro-1.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mariupol win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mariupol win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mariupol would win this match.

Result
MariupolDrawDnipro-1
38.5%25.91%35.59%
Both teams to score 54.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18%49.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18%71.82%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64%25.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85%60.14%
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73%27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64%62.35%
Score Analysis
    Mariupol 38.5%
    Dnipro-1 35.59%
    Draw 25.91%
MariupolDrawDnipro-1
1-0 @ 9.39%
2-1 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 3.86%
3-0 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 38.5%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 6.85%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.96%
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-2 @ 5.87%
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.59%