Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 7
Apr 3, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion Yuro Gagarin

Desna
2 - 0
Olimpik Donetsk

Totovytsky (44'), Bezborodko (69')
Sukhotskiy (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kargbo Jr (58'), Benito (68')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Olimpik Donetsk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Olimpik Donetsk win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.

Result
Desna ChernihivDrawOlimpik Donetsk
47.54%25.44%27.02%
Both teams to score 52.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.01%50.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.14%72.86%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54%21.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.51%54.48%
Olimpik Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54%33.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91%70.09%
Score Analysis
    Desna Chernihiv 47.53%
    Olimpik Donetsk 27.02%
    Draw 25.43%
Desna ChernihivDrawOlimpik Donetsk
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 8.5%
3-1 @ 4.78%
3-0 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 47.53%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 7.18%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 7.86%
1-2 @ 6.62%
0-2 @ 4.3%
1-3 @ 2.42%
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 27.02%