European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Sep 8, 2020 at 5pm UK
PGE Narodowy

Poland U21s
1 - 0
Russia U21s

Dziczek (61')
Gumny (72'), Klimala (86'), Fila (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Umyarov (45+1'), Lomovitski (59'), Krugovoi (90+4')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Poland Under-21s and Russia Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia Under-21s win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Poland Under-21s had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Poland Under-21s win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Poland Under-21sDrawRussia Under-21s
36.33%25.44%38.23%
Both teams to score 56.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.32%47.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.13%69.87%
Poland Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44%25.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57%60.43%
Russia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48%24.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01%58.99%
Score Analysis
    Poland Under-21s 36.34%
    Russia Under-21s 38.23%
    Draw 25.43%
Poland Under-21sDrawRussia Under-21s
1-0 @ 8.55%
2-1 @ 8.2%
2-0 @ 5.83%
3-1 @ 3.73%
3-0 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 36.34%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.27%
2-2 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.81%
1-2 @ 8.45%
0-2 @ 6.19%
1-3 @ 3.96%
0-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.7%
1-4 @ 1.39%
0-4 @ 1.02%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 38.23%