European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Sep 8, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
 

Lithuania U21s
0 - 1
Scotland U21s


Utkus (54'), Megelaitis (64'), Malzinskas (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Campbell (81')
Patterson (17'), Middleton (36'), McCrorie (48'), Porteous (64')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland Under-21s win with a probability of 46%. A win for Lithuania Under-21s had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Lithuania Under-21s win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Scotland Under-21s in this match.

Result
Lithuania Under-21sDrawScotland Under-21s
28.39%25.6%46%
Both teams to score 52.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.14%50.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.26%72.74%
Lithuania Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68%32.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17%68.83%
Scotland Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91%22.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.56%55.44%
Score Analysis
    Lithuania Under-21s 28.39%
    Scotland Under-21s 46%
    Draw 25.6%
Lithuania Under-21sDrawScotland Under-21s
1-0 @ 8.06%
2-1 @ 6.88%
2-0 @ 4.55%
3-1 @ 2.59%
3-2 @ 1.96%
3-0 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 28.39%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 7.14%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 10.78%
1-2 @ 9.19%
0-2 @ 8.14%
1-3 @ 4.63%
0-3 @ 4.1%
2-3 @ 2.61%
1-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.55%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 46%

rhs 2.0


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