Under-20s World Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jun 3, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio San Juan del Bicentenario

Colombia U20s
1 - 3
Italy U20s

Torres (49')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Casadei (9'), Baldanzi (38'), Pio Esposito (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Under-20 World Cup clash between Colombia Under-20s and Italy Under-20s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia Under-20s

Last Game: Colombia U20s 5-1 Slovakia U20s
Wednesday, May 31 at 6.30pm in Under-20 World Cup

Italy Under-20s

Last Game: England U20s 1-2 Italy U20s
Wednesday, May 31 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-20s win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Colombia Under-20s had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-20s win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Colombia Under-20s win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-20s would win this match.

Result
Colombia Under-20sDrawItaly Under-20s
29.84% (-0.999 -1)26.73% (0.116 0.12)43.43% (0.884 0.88)
Both teams to score 50.11% (-0.809 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.36% (-0.82400000000001 -0.82)54.64% (0.828 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.03% (-0.689 -0.69)75.97% (0.69199999999999 0.69)
Colombia Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.78% (-1.148 -1.15)33.21% (1.15 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (-1.288 -1.29)69.82% (1.292 1.29)
Italy Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.04% (0.079999999999998 0.08)24.96% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (0.106 0.11)59.6% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Colombia Under-20s 29.84%
    Italy Under-20s 43.42%
    Draw 26.73%
Colombia Under-20sDrawItaly Under-20s
1-0 @ 9.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.99% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.84%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.29% (0.263 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 11.5% (0.39 0.39)
1-2 @ 8.8% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.99% (0.288 0.29)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.141 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 43.42%

How you voted: Winner Match 42 vs Winner Match 39

Winner Match 42
36.4%
Draw
36.4%
Winner Match 39
27.3%
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