Basel
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 28
Jul 4, 2020 at 5.15pm UK
St. Jakob-Park

Basel
2 - 0
Neuchatel Xamax

Petretta (17'), Arthur (82')
Ramires (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Marazzi (12'), Corbaz (38'), Andre (57'), Kouassi (85'), Seydoux (87')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Neuchatel Xamax.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 66.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Neuchatel Xamax had a probability of 13.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Neuchatel Xamax win it was 0-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Basel in this match.

Result
BaselDrawNeuchatel Xamax
66.92%19.14%13.94%
Both teams to score 51.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.61%41.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.21%63.78%
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.55%11.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.73%36.27%
Neuchatel Xamax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.32%41.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.84%78.16%
Score Analysis
    Basel 66.91%
    Neuchatel Xamax 13.94%
    Draw 19.14%
BaselDrawNeuchatel Xamax
2-0 @ 11.2%
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 8.1%
3-1 @ 7.09%
4-0 @ 4.39%
4-1 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 3.1%
5-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 1.66%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 66.91%
1-1 @ 9.05%
0-0 @ 4.77%
2-2 @ 4.29%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.14%
0-1 @ 4.18%
1-2 @ 3.96%
0-2 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.25%
1-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 13.94%