Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BB Erzurumspor win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a BB Erzurumspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.