Serie B | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
SPAL logo

Pisa
1 - 2
SPAL

Tramoni (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Celia (42'), Moncini (52' pen.)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Pisa and SPAL.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pisa

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 1-1 Pisa
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B

SPAL

All competitions
Last Game: SPAL 0-1 Parma
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
PisaDrawSPAL
49.08% (1.921 1.92)25.39% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)25.53% (-1.865 -1.87)
Both teams to score 51.14% (-1.374 -1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.15% (-1.057 -1.06)51.85% (1.06 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.39% (-0.924 -0.92)73.6% (0.925 0.92)
Pisa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.85% (0.402 0.4)21.14% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46% (0.622 0.62)53.99% (-0.62 -0.62)
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.86% (-2.083 -2.08)35.14% (2.084 2.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.1% (-2.245 -2.25)71.89% (2.246 2.25)
Score Analysis
    Pisa 49.08%
    SPAL 25.53%
    Draw 25.39%
PisaDrawSPAL
1-0 @ 11.54% (0.61 0.61)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.97% (0.578 0.58)
3-1 @ 4.86% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.352 0.35)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.157 0.16)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 49.08%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.43% (0.309 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.236 -0.24)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.77% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.385 -0.39)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.3 -0.3)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.271 -0.27)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.194 -0.19)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 25.53%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 2pm
gameweek 19
SPAL
0-1
Pisa
Sibilli (54')
Marin (28')
Jan 22, 2022 1pm
gameweek 20
SPAL
0-0
Pisa

Vicari (25'), Mora (61'), Mancosu (72')

Caracciolo (26'), Birindelli (51'), Mastinu (82'), Lucca (88')
Aug 22, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 1
Pisa
1-0
SPAL
Sibilli (1')
Caracciolo (24'), Marin (73')

Viviani (12'), Dickmann (16'), Colombo (53'), Egill Ellertsson (70')
Mar 15, 2021 8pm
gameweek 29
Pisa
3-0
SPAL
Marsura (44'), Mazzitelli (80'), Siega (90+2')
Gucher (41'), Quaini (56'), Benedetti (74')

Espeto (5'), Sala (42')
Dec 5, 2020 1pm
gameweek 10
SPAL
4-0
Pisa
Paloschi (14', 17'), Tomovic (54'), Di Francesco (59')
Di Francesco (67')

Marin (43'), Lisi (62'), Caracciolo (64')