Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 22.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Racing de Santander
52.37% ( -0.37)	24.92% ( 0.3)	22.71% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 49.62% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.6% (

-1.1)

52.39% (

1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.92% (

-0.95)

74.08% (

0.95)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.01% (

-0.58)

19.99% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.82% (

-0.93)

52.17% (

0.94)

Racing de Santander Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.02% (

-0.55)

37.98% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.25% (

-0.54)

74.75% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 52.36%

Racing de Santander 22.71%

Draw 24.91%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Racing de Santander
1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.74% Total : 52.36%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.91%	0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.71%