Rayo Vallecano
3 - 2
Zaragoza

Bebe (41'), Catena (49'), Garcia (70')
Catena (37'), Trejo (56'), Garcia (61'), Hernandez (86')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Narvaez (11'), Garcia (29' og.)
Nieto (64'), Narvaez (81'), Frances (90')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Rayo Vallecano and Real Zaragoza.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 40.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 29.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Real Zaragoza
40.63%	29.72%	29.65%

Both teams to score 41.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.05%

64.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.14%

83.85%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57%

31.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19%

67.8%

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.06%

38.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.33%

75.67%

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 40.62%

Real Zaragoza 29.65%

Draw 29.71%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Real Zaragoza
1-0 @ 14.16% 2-0 @ 8.2% 2-1 @ 7.73% 3-0 @ 3.16% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.62%	1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 12.23% 2-2 @ 3.65% Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.71%	0-1 @ 11.54% 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.53% Total : 29.65%