Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Almeria and Malaga.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 41.75%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.97%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Malaga |
| 41.75% | 30.75% | 27.5% |
| Both teams to score 38.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.46% | 68.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.71% | 86.29% |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.36% | 32.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% | 69.19% |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.18% | 42.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.87% | 79.13% |
| Score Analysis |
Almeria 41.74%
Malaga 27.49%
Draw 30.75%
| Almeria | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 15.64% 2-0 @ 8.76% 2-1 @ 7.43% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.78% Total : 41.74% | 0-0 @ 13.97% 1-1 @ 13.27% 2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.35% Total : 30.75% | 0-1 @ 11.85% 1-2 @ 5.63% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.49% |


