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Annan Athletic
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 33
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
 
Albion Rovers

Annan
4 - 0
Albion Rovers

Smith (20', 73'), Docherty (36', 90+4')
Hooper (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bevan (15')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Annan Athletic and Albion Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Annan 3-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Albion Rovers 3-0 Elgin
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 62.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 18.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 1-0 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for an Albion Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.

Result
Annan AthleticDrawAlbion Rovers
62.03% (-0.63 -0.63) 19.63% (0.223 0.22) 18.34% (0.409 0.41)
Both teams to score 60.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.09% (-0.378 -0.38)34.91% (0.38 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.11% (-0.424 -0.42)56.89% (0.426 0.43)
Annan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.15% (-0.268 -0.27)10.85% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.05% (-0.605 -0.61)34.95% (0.608 0.61)
Albion Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73% (0.194 0.19)32.27% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23% (0.22 0.22)68.77% (-0.218 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Annan Athletic 62.03%
    Albion Rovers 18.34%
    Draw 19.63%
Annan AthleticDrawAlbion Rovers
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.78% (0.062 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.39% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 4.09% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.02% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.55% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.78% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 62.03%
1-1 @ 8.8% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.5% (0.067 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.63%
1-2 @ 4.97% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-1 @ 3.96% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.24% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 18.34%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Albion Rovers
0-2
Annan

Malcolm (44'), Fleming (80')
Galloway (83'), Muir (89')
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Annan
5-1
Albion Rovers
Smith (47'), Johnston (53'), Muir (56'), Kilsby (68'), Docherty (87')
Fleming (11')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Albion Rovers
2-2
Annan
Fernie (23'), Reilly (90+1')
Leslie (27'), Sonkur (28')
Goss (36' pen.), Lussint (90+2')
Hooper (18'), Hunter (79')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Annan
2-4
Albion Rovers
Goss (45+1'), Wallace (68')
Malcolm (23'), Roberts (31'), Fagan (85'), Dolan (90')
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
Albion Rovers
1-4
Annan
Wilson (77' pen.)
Wilson (80')
Wallace (14'), Smith (58' pen.), Moxon (70'), Anderson (82')
Clark (4'), Hunter (90')
rhs 2.0
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