Annan Athletic
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Albion Rovers

Annan
5 - 1
Albion Rovers

Smith (47'), Johnston (53'), Muir (56'), Kilsby (68'), Docherty (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fleming (11')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Annan Athletic and Albion Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Annan Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: East Fife 1-3 Annan
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Albion Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Forfar 1-0 Albion Rovers
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.

Result
Annan AthleticDrawAlbion Rovers
46.94% (-0.226 -0.23)24.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)28.69% (0.223 0.22)
Both teams to score 56.94% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.57% (0.127 0.13)45.43% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.24% (0.121 0.12)67.76% (-0.121 -0.12)
Annan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)19.46% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.68% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)51.31% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Albion Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.7% (0.223 0.22)29.3% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73% (0.274 0.27)65.27% (-0.274 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Annan Athletic 46.94%
    Albion Rovers 28.69%
    Draw 24.37%
Annan AthleticDrawAlbion Rovers
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.33% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 46.94%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.04 0.04)
0-1 @ 7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 28.69%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Albion Rovers
2-2
Annan
Fernie (23'), Reilly (90+1')
Leslie (27'), Sonkur (28')
Goss (36' pen.), Lussint (90+2')
Hooper (18'), Hunter (79')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Annan
2-4
Albion Rovers
Goss (45+1'), Wallace (68')
Malcolm (23'), Roberts (31'), Fagan (85'), Dolan (90')
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
Albion Rovers
1-4
Annan
Wilson (77' pen.)
Wilson (80')
Wallace (14'), Smith (58' pen.), Moxon (70'), Anderson (82')
Clark (4'), Hunter (90')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Annan
1-1
Albion Rovers
Docherty (24')
Barnes (50'), Smith (54'), Hunter (62'), Douglas (77')
Wilson (42')
McGowan (14'), Fagan (64')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Albion Rovers
0-1
Annan

Leslie (4'), Doherty (77')
Anderson (45+1')
Anderson (50'), Smith (58'), Docherty (86')