Zenit

4 - 0

Akhmat Grozny

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 74.77%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 9.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.