Sochi

2 - 1

Lokomotiv

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Sochi win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.