Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2026 8.15pm
Estádio de São Miguel

Santa Clara vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 3.30pm
Porto 1 - 0 Santa Clara

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 6.00pm
Nacional 2 - 0 Guimaraes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Santa Clara win with a probability of 46.5%. A draw has a probability of 27.56% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 25.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.32%) , while for a Nacional win it is 0-1 (8.4%).

Result

Santa Clara 46.5% (-0.15)
Draw 27.56% (-0.02)
Nacional 25.98% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.07% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.21% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 29.79% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 45.49% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 54.51% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 24.92% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 75.08% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 13.57% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 86.43% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Santa Clara 27.25% (-0.04)
Draw 51.43% (-0.07)
Nacional 21.32% (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Santa Clara 51.6% (+0.11)
No Goal 9.16% (-0.08)
Nacional 39.24% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 57.34% (-0.13)
Equal 8 11.76% (-0.02)
Under 8 30.9% (+0.15)
Over 9 45.4% (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.94% (-0.05)
Under 9 42.66% (+0.13)
Over 10.5 34.3% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 65.7% (+0.07)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 1.5 42.01%
Under 1.5 57.99%
Over 2.5 17.92% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 82.08% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.56% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.44% (-0.04)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 59.96% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 40.04% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 25.84% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 74.16% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 8.67% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 91.33% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 2.42% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.58% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Santa Clara 46.5%
Draw 27.56%
Nacional 25.98%
Santa Clara
1-0 @ 12.27% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.4% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18%
Other @ 6.32% (+0.04)
Total : 46.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 9.16% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.89% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 27.56%
Nacional
0-1 @ 8.4% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.11% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3.99% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.18% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.7% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.42% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.18% (+0.04)
Total : 25.98%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio de São Miguel
  • Elias Manoel 24' yellowcard
  • Pedro Pacheco 27' goal
  • Darlan 64' yellowcard
  • Isaac Valença 64' yellowcard
  • Vinícius Lopes 82' yellowcard
  • Luis Fernando 82' yellowcard
  • Elias Manoel 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Veron 46'
  • yellowcard Chiheb Labidi 46'
  • yellowcard Alan Nuñez 62'
  • yellowcard Lucas João 82'
  • yellowcard Martim Gustavo Watts 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2026 3.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estádio da Madeira
  • Jesus Andres Ramirez 21' goal
  • Jesus Andres Ramirez 38' yellowcard
  • Deivison Souza Brito 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Junior 46' yellowcard
  • Jesus Andres Ramirez 50' goal
  • Witi 76' yellowcard
  • Chiheb Abidi 76' yellowcard
  • Andre Sousa 90' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Lopes 4'
  • goal Paulo Victor 15'
  • yellowcard Adriano 65'
  • yellowcard Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos 65'
  • yellowcard Pedro Ferreira 76'
  • yellowcard Elias Manoel 76'
  • yellowcard Welinton Macedo dos Santos 83'
  • goal Elias Manoel 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Sao Miguel
  • Joao Pedro Augusto Mourao Costa 3' goal
  • Pedro Ferreira 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Frederico Venancio 60' yellowcard
  • MT 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Djibril Soumare 16'
  • yellowcard Djibril Soumare 16'
  • yellowcard Diederrick Joel 64'
  • redcard Djibril Soumare 90'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2024 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Isaac Aguiar Tomich 9' goal
  • Ruben Macedo 13' goal
  • Ulisses 24' yellowcard
  • Nigel Thomas 49' yellowcard
  • Matheus Dias 74' yellowcard
  • Lucas Franca 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guilherme Ramos 43'
  • yellowcard Rocha 43'
  • yellowcard Safira 50'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Klismahn 54'
  • yellowcard Adriano 64'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Silva 74'
  • yellowcard Sidney Lima 87'
Taca de Portugal
Jan 11, 2024 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET Estadio de Sao Miguel
  • Sidney Lima 25' yellowcard
  • Serginho 30' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Velazquez 77' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Klismahn 111' goal
  • yellowcard Sergio Marakis 98'
  • yellowcard Luis Esteves 106'
  • goal Dudu 120'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Apr 11, 2021 3.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Mikel Villanueva 4' goal
  • Lincoln 14' yellowcard
  • Rui Costa 35' goal
  • Rui Costa 47' goal
  • Rafael Ramos 69' yellowcard
  • Carlos 79' goal
  • Ukra 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Vincent Thill 8'
  • goal Rui Correia 66'
  • yellowcard Kalindi 77'
  • yellowcard Rui Correia 90'+6'