Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Santa Clara
Aug 10, 2026 8.15pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estádio de São Miguel
Nacional
  • Gonçalo Paciência 19' goal
  • Gonçalo Paciência 21' goal
  • Vinícius Lopes 24' yellowcard
  • Daniel Borges 39' yellowcard
  • goal Liziero 36'
  • yellowcard Wesley Gasolina 40'
  • goal Miguel Baeza 45'
  • yellowcard Filipe Soares 70'

Santa Clara vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 3.30pm
Porto 1 - 0 Santa Clara

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 6.00pm
Nacional 2 - 0 Guimaraes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 46.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.39% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 25.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%) , while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Santa Clara 46.68% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 27.39% ▼ (-0.15)
Nacional 25.96% ▲ (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.09% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.17% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 29.83% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 45.51% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 54.49% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 24.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 75.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.63% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 86.37% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Santa Clara 27.06% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 51.8% ▲ (+0.30)
Nacional 21.13% ▼ (-0.17)

Team To Score First

Santa Clara 51.62% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 9.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Nacional 39.24% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.99% ▼ (-0.33)
Equal 8 11.8% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 31.21% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 9 45.04% ▼ (-0.35)
Equal 9 11.95% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 43.01% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 10.5 33.96% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 10.5 66.04% ▲ (+0.33)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 1.5 42.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.99% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 82.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.41% ▼ (-0.04)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 59.84% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 40.16% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 25.79% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 74.21% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 8.68% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 91.32% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 2.41%
Under 3.5 97.59%

Score analysis

Santa Clara 46.68%
Draw 27.41%
Nacional 25.97%
Santa Clara
1-0 @ 12.37% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.4% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.94%
3-2 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 46.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 9.14% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.41%
Nacional
0-1 @ 8.38% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 25.97%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Santa Clara
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio de São Miguel
Nacional
  • Elias Manoel 24' yellowcard
  • Pedro Pacheco 27' goal
  • Darlan 64' yellowcard
  • Isaac Valença 64' yellowcard
  • Vinícius Lopes 82' yellowcard
  • Luis Fernando 82' yellowcard
  • Elias Manoel 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Veron 46'
  • yellowcard Chiheb Labidi 46'
  • yellowcard Alan Nuñez 62'
  • yellowcard Lucas João 82'
  • yellowcard Martim Gustavo Watts 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Nacional
Jan 11, 2026 3.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estádio da Madeira
Santa Clara
  • Jesus Andres Ramirez 21' goal
  • Jesus Andres Ramirez 38' yellowcard
  • Deivison Souza Brito 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Junior 46' yellowcard
  • Jesus Andres Ramirez 50' goal
  • Witi 76' yellowcard
  • Chiheb Abidi 76' yellowcard
  • Andre Sousa 90' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Lopes 4'
  • goal Paulo Victor 15'
  • yellowcard Adriano 65'
  • yellowcard Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos 65'
  • yellowcard Pedro Ferreira 76'
  • yellowcard Elias Manoel 76'
  • yellowcard Welinton Macedo dos Santos 83'
  • goal Elias Manoel 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Santa Clara
Mar 30, 2025 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Sao Miguel
Nacional
  • Joao Pedro Augusto Mourao Costa 3' goal
  • Pedro Ferreira 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Frederico Venancio 60' yellowcard
  • MT 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Djibril Soumare 16'
  • yellowcard Djibril Soumare 16'
  • yellowcard Diederrick Joel 64'
  • redcard Djibril Soumare 90'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Nacional
Nov 4, 2024 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio da Madeira
Santa Clara
  • Isaac Aguiar Tomich 9' goal
  • Ruben Macedo 13' goal
  • Ulisses 24' yellowcard
  • Nigel Thomas 49' yellowcard
  • Matheus Dias 74' yellowcard
  • Lucas Franca 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guilherme Ramos 43'
  • yellowcard Rocha 43'
  • yellowcard Safira 50'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Klismahn 54'
  • yellowcard Adriano 64'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Silva 74'
  • yellowcard Sidney Lima 87'
Taca de Portugal
Santa Clara
Jan 11, 2024 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET Estadio de Sao Miguel
Nacional
  • Sidney Lima 25' yellowcard
  • Serginho 30' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Velazquez 77' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Klismahn 111' goal
  • yellowcard Sergio Marakis 98'
  • yellowcard Luis Esteves 106'
  • goal Dudu 120'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Santa Clara
Apr 11, 2021 3.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Nacional
  • Mikel Villanueva 4' goal
  • Lincoln 14' yellowcard
  • Rui Costa 35' goal
  • Rui Costa 47' goal
  • Rafael Ramos 69' yellowcard
  • Carlos 79' goal
  • Ukra 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Vincent Thill 8'
  • goal Rui Correia 66'
  • yellowcard Kalindi 77'
  • yellowcard Rui Correia 90'+6'

Form Data

Santa Clara 0 - 0 Arouca
Santa Clara 1 - 1 Felgueiras 1932
Santa Clara 0 - 0 Moreirense
Santa Clara 2 - 0 Paredes
Santa Clara 0 - 0 Leca
Porto 1 - 0 Santa Clara
Maritimo 1 - 0 Nacional
Estrela Amadora 2 - 0 Nacional
Nacional 0 - 0 Leganes
Tondela 0 - 0 Nacional
Nacional 0 - 0 Leixoes
Nacional 2 - 0 Guimaraes