Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Watford |
| 45.49% | 25.72% | 28.79% |
| Both teams to score 52.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.9% | 51.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.04% | 72.96% |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.57% | 22.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.05% | 55.95% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% | 32.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.37% | 68.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.48% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.21% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.18% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.79% |