Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-23s win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.98%) and 0-1 (4.95%). The likeliest Reading Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-23s would win this match.
