Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 57.31%. A win for Chelsea Under-23s had a probability of 22.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.09%) and 3-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-23s | Draw | Chelsea Under-23s |
| 57.31% | 20.2% | 22.49% |
| Both teams to score 65.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.55% | 31.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.08% | 52.92% |
| Manchester City Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.98% | 11.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.67% | 35.33% |
| Chelsea Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% | 26.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.35% | 61.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-23s | Draw | Chelsea Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 6.93% 1-0 @ 6.43% 3-0 @ 5.22% 3-2 @ 4.61% 4-1 @ 3.82% 4-0 @ 2.88% 4-2 @ 2.54% 5-1 @ 1.69% 5-0 @ 1.27% 4-3 @ 1.13% 5-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.16% Total : 57.31% | 1-1 @ 8.55% 2-2 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 2.92% 3-3 @ 2.04% Other @ 0.42% Total : 20.2% | 1-2 @ 5.68% 0-1 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-2 @ 2.58% 1-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.99% Total : 22.49% |


