Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Under-23s win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool Under-23s would win this match.
