Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-23s win with a probability of 51.78%. A win for Blackburn Rovers Under-23s had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.36%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County Under-23s would win this match.
