Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 12.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.09%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%) , while for a Uzbekistan win it was 0-1 (5.04%).