Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 33
May 17, 2025 at 7.15pm UK
Suzuki Arena (Kielce)
Rakow

Korona Kielce
1 - 1
Rakow

Dlugosz (12')
Bak (90+3'), Bakken (90+3'), Zwozny (90+3'), Mamla (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Braut Brunes (57' pen.)
Adriano (72')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Korona Kielce and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Last Game: Gdansk 3-2 Korona Kielce
Sunday, May 11 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions
Last Game: Rakow 1-2 Jagiellonia
Saturday, May 10 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Korona KielceDrawRakow Czestochowa
29.17% (0.216 0.22)26.75% (0.027000000000001 0.03)44.08% (-0.241 -0.24)
Both teams to score 49.72% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.03%54.97% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)76.25% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (0.16300000000001 0.16)33.89% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44% (0.175 0.18)70.56% (-0.175 -0.17)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21% (-0.121 -0.12)24.79% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)59.36% (0.168 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Korona Kielce 29.17%
    Rakow Czestochowa 44.07%
    Draw 26.74%
Korona KielceDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 9.09% (0.041 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.86% (0.037 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.92% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.47% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.77% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 29.17%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 11.71% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.17% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.07%

Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 1.45pm
Gameweek 16
Rakow
1-1
Korona Kielce
Kochergin (23')
Svarnas (46'), Walczak (72')
Dalmau (89')
Matuszewski (59')
Mar 13, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Korona Kielce
0-2
Rakow

Remacle (14'), Podgorski (17')
Crnac (3'), Kochergin (6')
Arsenic (56'), Carlos (87')
Arsenic (69')
Dec 17, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 19
Rakow
1-0
Korona Kielce
Malarczyk (87' og.)
Sorescu (67')

Malarczyk (21')