Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 32
May 11, 2025 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Energa Gdansk

Gdansk
3 - 2
Korona Kielce

V'Yunnik (18' pen.), Zhelizko (45+4'), Sezonienko (90')
Khlan (40'), V'Yunnik (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dlugosz (50', 60')
Nono (68')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lechia Gdansk and Korona Kielce.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lechia Gdansk

All competitions
Last Game: Cracovia 0-2 Gdansk
Sunday, May 4 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Last Game: Korona Kielce 2-1 Katowice
Monday, May 5 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lechia Gdansk would win this match.

Result
Lechia GdanskDrawKorona Kielce
45.97% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)24.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)29.16% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.6% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (0.048999999999999 0.05)47.33% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (0.047000000000001 0.05)69.55% (-0.047999999999988 -0.05)
Lechia Gdansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (0.015000000000001 0.02)20.64% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (0.022999999999996 0.02)53.21% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (0.039000000000001 0.04)29.93% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.046999999999997 0.05)66.04% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lechia Gdansk 45.97%
    Korona Kielce 29.16%
    Draw 24.86%
Lechia GdanskDrawKorona Kielce
1-0 @ 9.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 45.97%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 29.16%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 15
Korona Kielce
0-0
Gdansk
Trojak (56'), Remacle (71')
Kapic (64'), V'Yunnik (71'), Sezonienko (76'), Kalahur (86')