Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco Under-23s win with a probability of 56.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for USA Under-23s had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a USA Under-23s win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Morocco Under-23s	Draw	USA Under-23s
56.76% ( 0.01)	23.38% ( -0.01)	19.86% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.31% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.51% (

0.01)

49.48% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.48% (

0.01)

71.52% (

-0.01)

Morocco Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.77% (

0.01)

17.22% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.48% (

0.02)

47.51% (

-0.02)

USA Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.78% (

-0)

39.22% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.07% (

-0)

75.93% (

Score Analysis

Morocco Under-23s 56.75%

USA Under-23s 19.86%

Draw 23.38%

Morocco Under-23s	Draw	USA Under-23s
1-0 @ 11.88% 2-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.75%	1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.38%	0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 19.86%