Paris 2024

Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage

Jul 24, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Argentina U23s
1 - 2
Morocco U23s

Simeone (68')
Fernandez (89'), Di Cesare (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rahimi (45+2', 51' pen.)
Akhomach (39'), El Khannous (45+3'), El Ouahdi (61'), Rahimi (70'), Targhalline (87'), Munir (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Argentina Under-23s and Morocco Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina Under-23s

Last Game: Spain U23s 1-1 Argentina U23s
Wednesday, July 28 at 12pm in Olympic Games Men's Football

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco Under-23s win with a probability of 53.16%. A win for Argentina Under-23s had a probability of 23.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco Under-23s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Argentina Under-23s win was 1-0 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Argentina Under-23s	Draw	Morocco Under-23s
23.43% ( -5.18)	23.42% ( -0.14)	53.16% ( 5.32)

Both teams to score 55.16% (

-4.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.52% (

-3.74)

45.48% (

3.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.19% (

-3.67)

67.81% (

3.67)

Argentina Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.51% (

-6.01)

33.49% (

6.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.88% (

-7.15)

70.13% (

7.15)

Morocco Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.93% (

0.59)

17.07% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.75% (

1.03)

47.25% (

-1.03)

Score Analysis

Argentina Under-23s 23.43%

Morocco Under-23s 53.15%

Draw 23.41%

Argentina Under-23s	Draw	Morocco Under-23s
1-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.97) 2-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.63) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.82) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.67) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.5) Other @ 2.31% Total : 23.43%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.86) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.74) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.37) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.41%	0-1 @ 10.1% ( 1.69) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 8.93% ( 1.64) 1-3 @ 5.76% ( 0.31) 0-3 @ 5.26% ( 1.05) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.37) 1-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.5) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.91% Total : 53.15%