Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco Under-23s win with a probability of 53.16%. A win for Argentina Under-23s had a probability of 23.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco Under-23s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Argentina Under-23s win was 1-0 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco Under-23s would win this match.