Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage

Jul 28, 2021 at 12pm UK

Saitama Stadium 2002

Spain U23s
1 - 1
Argentina U23s

Merino (66')
Gil (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Belmonte (87')
Perez (10'), Vera (53'), Colombatto (58'), Payero (61'), Bravo (81'), Mosevich (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Spain Under-23s and Argentina Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-23s win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Argentina Under-23s had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Argentina Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Spain Under-23s	Draw	Argentina Under-23s
47.53%	23.33%	29.13%

Both teams to score 60.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.64%

40.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.26%

62.73%

Spain Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.75%

17.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.45%

47.55%

Argentina Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.57%

26.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.41%

61.58%

Score Analysis

Spain Under-23s 47.53%

Argentina Under-23s 29.13%

Draw 23.32%

Spain Under-23s	Draw	Argentina Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.37% 1-0 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 5.49% 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.65% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 4.02% Total : 47.53%	1-1 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.32%	1-2 @ 7.09% 0-1 @ 6.06% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.05% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.13%