Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage

Jul 25, 2021 at 11.30am UK

Sapporo Dome

Australia U23s
0 - 1
Spain U23s

Wales (43'), McGree (53'), Duke (57'), Atkinson (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oyarzabal (81')
Gil (3'), Simon (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Australia Under-23s and Spain Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-23s win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Australia Under-23s had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-23s win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.21%) and 1-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Australia Under-23s win was 1-0 (12.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Spain Under-23s in this match.

Result
Australia Under-23s	Draw	Spain Under-23s
33.08%	30.4%	36.51%

Both teams to score 40.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.58%

66.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.13%

84.87%

Australia Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.84%

37.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.05%

73.94%

Spain Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.22%

34.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.49%

71.51%

Score Analysis

Australia Under-23s 33.08%

Spain Under-23s 36.5%

Draw 30.4%

Australia Under-23s	Draw	Spain Under-23s
1-0 @ 12.79% 2-1 @ 6.69% 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.8% Total : 33.08%	1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 12.92% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.4%	0-1 @ 13.64% 0-2 @ 7.21% 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-3 @ 2.54% 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.23% Total : 36.5%