Paris 2024

Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage

Jul 24, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

France U23s
3 - 0
USA U23s

Lacazette (61'), Olise (69'), Bade (85')
Sildillia (17')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Paredes (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between France Under-23s and USA Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

France Under-23s

Last Game: France U23s 0-4 Japan U23s
Wednesday, July 28 at 12.30pm in Olympic Games Men's Football

USA Under-23s

Last Game: Brazil U23s 1-0 USA U23s
Thursday, November 14 at 5.15pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-23s win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for USA Under-23s had a probability of 11.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Under-23s win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a USA Under-23s win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France Under-23s would win this match.

Result
France Under-23s	Draw	USA Under-23s
71.12% ( 0.07)	17.53% ( -0.1)	11.34% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 49.21% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.52% (

0.56)

40.48% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.14% (

0.57)

62.85% (

-0.57)

France Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.87% (

0.16)

10.12% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.69% (

0.38)

33.31% (

-0.38)

USA Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.75% (

0.42)

45.24% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.87% (

0.33)

81.12% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

France Under-23s 71.11%

USA Under-23s 11.35%

Draw 17.53%

France Under-23s	Draw	USA Under-23s
2-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.46% Total : 71.11%	1-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.86% Total : 17.53%	0-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 11.35%