Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage

Jul 22, 2021 at 9am UK

Ajinomoto Stadium

Mexico U23s
4 - 1
France U23s

Vega (47'), Cordova (55'), Uriel (80'), Aguirre (90+1')
Vega (20')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gignac (69' pen.)
Michelin (16'), Caci (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Mexico Under-23s and France Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico Under-23s win with a probability of 73.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for France Under-23s had a probability of 10.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico Under-23s win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.37%) and 3-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a France Under-23s win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Mexico Under-23s	Draw	France Under-23s
73.38%	16.53%	10.08%

Both teams to score 48.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.53%

39.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.19%

61.81%

Mexico Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.68%

9.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.58%

31.42%

France Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.07%

46.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.57%

82.43%

Score Analysis

Mexico Under-23s 73.37%

France Under-23s 10.08%

Draw 16.53%

Mexico Under-23s	Draw	France Under-23s
2-0 @ 12.31% 1-0 @ 10.37% 3-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 7.37% 4-0 @ 5.78% 4-1 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 2.79% 5-0 @ 2.75% 5-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.66% 6-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.74% Total : 73.37%	1-1 @ 7.85% 0-0 @ 4.37% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.79% Total : 16.53%	0-1 @ 3.31% 1-2 @ 2.97% 0-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.56% Total : 10.08%