Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage

Jul 25, 2021 at 9am UK

Saitama Stadium 2002

France U23s
4 - 3
South Africa U23s

Gignac (57', 78', 86' pen.), Savanier (90+2')
Nkounkou (20'), Savanier (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kodisang (53'), Makgopa (72'), Mokoena (81')
Mokoena (16'), Williams (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between France Under-23s and South Africa Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-23s win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for South Africa Under-23s had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest South Africa Under-23s win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that France Under-23s would win this match.

Result
France Under-23s	Draw	South Africa Under-23s
45.6%	25.32%	29.08%

Both teams to score 54.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.68%

49.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.62%

71.37%

France Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.37%

21.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.25%

54.75%

South Africa Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.98%

31.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.67%

67.33%

Score Analysis

France Under-23s 45.59%

South Africa Under-23s 29.08%

Draw 25.32%

France Under-23s	Draw	South Africa Under-23s
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.21% 2-0 @ 7.86% 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.59%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.71% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 7.85% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 4.6% 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.08%