Olympic Games Men's Football
Jul 22, 2021 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Wataru Endo 37' yellowcard
  • Ritsu Doan 57' yellowcard
  • Takefusa Kubo 71' goal

Japan Under-23s vs South Africa Under-23s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan Under-23s

All competitions

South Africa Under-23s

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa Under-23s win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Japan Under-23s had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa Under-23s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Japan Under-23s win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Japan Under-23s 32.19%
Draw 26.76%
South Africa Under-23s 41.06%

Both Teams to Score: 

51%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.05%
Under 2.5 53.95%
Over 3.5 24.6%
Under 3.5 75.4%

Japan Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5 68.8%
Under 0.5 31.19%
Over 1.5 32.46%
Under 1.5 67.54%

South Africa Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5 74.12%
Under 0.5 25.88%
Over 1.5 39.14%
Under 1.5 60.86%

Score analysis

Japan Under-23s 32.19%
Draw 26.75%
South Africa Under-23s 41.05%
Japan Under-23s
1-0 @ 9.4%
2-1 @ 7.4%
2-0 @ 5.48%
3-1 @ 2.88%
3-0 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.94%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 8.07%
2-2 @ 5.01%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.75%
South Africa Under-23s
0-1 @ 10.91%
1-2 @ 8.59%
0-2 @ 7.38%
1-3 @ 3.87%
0-3 @ 3.32%
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 41.05%