Olympic Games Men's Football
Jul 27, 2024 6.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Sam Sutton 65' yellowcard
  • Jesse Randall 78' goal
  • goal Djordje Mihailovic 8'
  • goal Walker Zimmerman 12'
  • goal Gianluca Busio 30'
  • yellowcard Tanner Tessmann 45'+2'
  • goal Paxten Aaronson 58'

New Zealand Under-23s vs USA Under-23s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand Under-23s

All competitions
Olympic Games Men's Football
Last game
Jul 24, 2024 4.00pm
Guinea U23s 1 - 2 N Zealand U23s

USA Under-23s

All competitions
Olympic Games Men's Football
Last game
Jul 24, 2024 8.00pm
France U23s 3 - 0 USA U23s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand Under-23s win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for USA Under-23s had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest USA Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result

New Zealand Under-23s 47.47% (+8.13)
Draw 23.25% (-0.29)
USA Under-23s 29.28% (-7.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.29% (-1.97)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.12% (-1.34)
Under 2.5 39.88% (+1.34)
Over 3.5 37.76% (-1.41)
Under 3.5 62.24% (+1.40)
Over 4.5 20.37% (-1.11)
Under 4.5 79.63% (+1.10)

New Zealand Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5 82.91% (+2.86)
Under 0.5 17.08% (-2.86)
Over 1.5 52.73% (+4.82)
Under 1.5 47.27% (-4.83)

USA Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5 73.91% (-5.10)
Under 0.5 26.08% (+5.09)
Over 1.5 38.86% (-7.38)
Under 1.5 61.13% (+7.38)

Score analysis

New Zealand Under-23s 47.47%
Draw 23.25%
USA Under-23s 29.28%
New Zealand Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.35% (+0.86)
1-0 @ 7.87% (+1.13)
2-0 @ 6.96% (+1.52)
3-1 @ 5.51% (+0.95)
3-0 @ 4.1% (+1.18)
3-2 @ 3.7% (+0.14)
4-1 @ 2.43% (+0.60)
4-0 @ 1.81% (+0.64)
4-2 @ 1.64% (+0.20)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 47.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.58% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.35)
0-0 @ 4.46% (+0.27)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.20)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.25%
USA Under-23s
1-2 @ 7.11% (-1.12)
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.55)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-1.08)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-1.10)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.64)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.86)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.60)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 29.28%