Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Men's Football | Quarter-Finals

Jul 31, 2021 at 10am UK

Kashima Soccer Stadium

Japan U23s
0 - 0
N.Zealand U23s

Tomiyasu (89'), Miyoshi (114')

FT
(aet)

Bell (19'), Stensness (55'), Garbett (64'), Cacace (71')

Japan U23s win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Japan Under-23s and New Zealand Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Under-23s win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for New Zealand Under-23s had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a New Zealand Under-23s win it was 0-1 (6.36%).

Result
Japan Under-23s	Draw	New Zealand Under-23s
54.89%	23.5%	21.61%

Both teams to score 52.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.17%

47.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.98%

70.01%

Japan Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.7%

17.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.35%

47.64%

New Zealand Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.51%

36.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.73%

73.27%

Score Analysis

Japan Under-23s 54.89%

New Zealand Under-23s 21.61%

Draw 23.49%

Japan Under-23s	Draw	New Zealand Under-23s
1-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 9.71% 3-1 @ 5.73% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 2.51% 4-0 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.74% Total : 54.89%	1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 6.31% 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.49%	0-1 @ 6.36% 1-2 @ 5.63% 0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.78% Total : 21.61%