Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage

Jul 25, 2021 at 9am UK

Kashima Soccer Stadium

N.Zealand U23s
2 - 3
Honduras U23s

Cacace (10'), Wood (49')
Waine (75'), Stamenic (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Enrique Palma Oseguera (45+1'), Carlos Obregon Jr (78'), Rivas (87')
Roberto Decas (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between New Zealand Under-23s and Honduras Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand Under-23s win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Honduras Under-23s had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Honduras Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
New Zealand Under-23s	Draw	Honduras Under-23s
44.02%	23.7%	32.27%

Both teams to score 61.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.48%

40.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.1%

62.9%

New Zealand Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.29%

18.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.93%

50.06%

Honduras Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.46%

24.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.99%

59%

Score Analysis

New Zealand Under-23s 44.02%

Honduras Under-23s 32.27%

Draw 23.69%

New Zealand Under-23s	Draw	Honduras Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.06% 1-0 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 5.06% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.48% Total : 44.02%	1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.69%	1-2 @ 7.6% 0-1 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.27%