Paris 2024

Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage

Jul 24, 2024 at 4pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Guinea U23s
1 - 2
N Zealand U23s

Diawara (72')
Soumah (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Garbett (25'), Waine (76')
Bell (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Guinea U23s and New Zealand Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea U23s

Last Game: England U21s 7-1 Guinea U23s
Monday, May 23 at 6.45pm in Toulon Tournament

New Zealand Under-23s

Last Game: Japan U23s 0-0 N.Zealand U23s (4-2 pen.)
Saturday, July 31 at 10am in Olympic Games Men's Football

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea U23s win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for New Zealand Under-23s had a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea U23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a New Zealand Under-23s win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Guinea U23s	Draw	New Zealand Under-23s
53.17% ( -22.57)	24.06% ( 7.88)	22.76% ( 14.69)

Both teams to score 52.26% (

11.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.07% (

-4.38)

48.93% (

4.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.98% (

-4.1)

71.02% (

4.1)

Guinea U23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.66% (

-8.3)

18.34% (

8.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.55% (

-16.34)

49.45% (

16.34)

New Zealand Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64% (

18.72)

36% (

-18.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.22% (

14.94)

72.77% (

-14.93)

Score Analysis

Guinea U23s 53.16%

New Zealand Under-23s 22.76%

Draw 24.06%

Guinea U23s	Draw	New Zealand Under-23s
1-0 @ 11.19% ( -1.43) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.95) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( -5.01) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( -1.22) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( -5.75) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.78) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -1.53) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -4.12) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.33% Total : 53.16%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( 3.83) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 1.11) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 2.32) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.55) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.06%	0-1 @ 6.75% ( 3.43) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 3.55) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 2.45) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 1.53) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 1.16) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.97) Other @ 1.87% Total : 22.76%