Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco Under-23s win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Iraq Under-23s had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Iraq Under-23s win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Morocco Under-23s	Draw	Iraq Under-23s
42.46% ( -0.08)	25.33% ( -0)	32.21% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 55.61% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.99% (

0.05)

48.01% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.82% (

0.05)

70.18% (

-0.05)

Morocco Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.47% (

-0.01)

22.53% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.89% (

-0.02)

56.11% (

0.02)

Iraq Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.78% (

0.08)

28.22% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.08% (

0.1)

63.92% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Morocco Under-23s 42.46%

Iraq Under-23s 32.21%

Draw 25.33%

Morocco Under-23s	Draw	Iraq Under-23s
1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.46%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 8.04% 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.21%